Summary
Overdiagnosis of disease results in harm to patients, systems and communities. The extent of thyroid cancer overdiagnosis in the US is significant (estimated at 72 to 94 %), even after considering increased true incidence. Reducing unnecessary thyroid ultrasounds—especially for nonpalpable nodules—could lower unnecessary diagnoses and treatment-related harms without raising mortality.
Francis DO, Davies L, Zhang Y, et al. Overdiagnosis of papillary thyroid cancer. JAMA Netw Open. 2026;9(2):e2559852.