02/02/26

Overdiagnosis of papillary thyroid cancer.

Francis, David O; Davies, Louise; Zhang, Yichi; Arroyo, Natalia; Fernandes-Taylor, Sara; Nordby, Peter; Cher, Ben A Y; Venkatesh, Manasa; Aiello Bowles, Erin J; Alagoz, Oguzhan. JAMA Netw Open.

Summary

Overdiagnosis of disease results in harm to patients, systems and communities. The extent of thyroid cancer overdiagnosis in the US is significant (estimated at 72 to 94 %), even after considering increased true incidence. Reducing unnecessary thyroid ultrasounds—especially for nonpalpable nodules—could lower unnecessary diagnoses and treatment-related harms without raising mortality.

Francis DO, Davies L, Zhang Y, et al. Overdiagnosis of papillary thyroid cancer. JAMA Netw Open. 2026;9(2):e2559852.